Mito HollyHock 2-2 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
47%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 27% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
48%
Away Win
56%
-8.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 60%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.01/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.76
+4% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
241 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses 16.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 HT 1-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
12.11.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
18.02.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
2-2
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 6
306 Passes 613
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock and Shimizu S-Pulse shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Shimizu S-Pulse at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 36% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 64%, shots finished 7-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mito HollyHock and 1.00 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Mito HollyHock 2-2 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J2 League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 25%, draw 27%, Shimizu S-Pulse 48%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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