Barcelona SC 0-3 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 6 Oct 2025

📅06/10/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+9.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
0.68/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.21
-23% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
15.8 Crosses 15.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.89 xG 1.15
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
232 Passes 371
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
28.05.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC LKU
02.04.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle LKU
09.03.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-4 HT 0-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
11.08.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 3-2 HT 3-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
10.03.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 3-1 HT 3-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
0-3
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.58 xG 2.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
328 Passes 350
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
24 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle swept aside Barcelona SC 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Independiente Del Valle found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 49% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 51%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.58 to 2.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barcelona SC and 2.00 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Independiente Del Valle?

Barcelona SC 0-3 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 06/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 35%, draw 25%, Independiente Del Valle 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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