Antigua GFC 2-1 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 6 Oct 2025

📅06/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
59%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -8%
2.20/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.11
+25% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +47%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Xelaju MC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-2 HT 0-2 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
09.03.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
24.01.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 5-1 HT 4-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
09.12.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
06.12.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-1 HT 1-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
22.09.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 4-1 HT 3-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC squeezed past Xelaju MC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Antigua GFC as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Antigua GFC and 1.83 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Xelaju MC?

Antigua GFC 2-1 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 06/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 61%, draw 24%, Xelaju MC 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →