Antigua GFC 1-0 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -10%
1.83/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.97
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +47%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Xelaju MC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.01.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 5-1 HT 4-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
09.12.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
06.12.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-1 HT 1-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
22.09.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 4-1 HT 3-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
14.04.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
05.11.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-1 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antigua GFC
1-0
AWAY Xelaju MC
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC squeezed past Xelaju MC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Antigua GFC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Antigua GFC had 44% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 56%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Antigua GFC and 1.83 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Xelaju MC?

Antigua GFC 1-0 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 44%, draw 29%, Xelaju MC 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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