AZ U19 4-1 Stromsgodset U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
1.0
Over
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
20%
13.85
2-3
37%
2.98
4-5
27%
2.29
6+
16%
2.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 13.85 — our 20% vs market 3.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.17
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
34.5
X/1
16%
3.88
X/2
7%
34.5
X/X
6%
18.0
2/1
10%
18.8
2/2
6%
27.5
2/X
8%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
AZ U19 win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
64%
Home Win
82%
-18.4pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.4pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ U19 The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset U19 The Market 9%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+10% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
471 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stromsgodset U19
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.10.2024 Stromsgodset U19 Stromsgodset U19 1-4 HT 0-1 AZ U19 AZ U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ U19
4-1
AWAY Stromsgodset U19
51% Ball Possession 49%
26 Total Shots 9
15 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AZ U19 vs Stromsgodset U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ U19 ran out comfortable winners over Stromsgodset U19 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AZ U19 as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AZ U19 had 51% of the ball to Stromsgodset U19's 49%, shots finished 26-9.

What was the final score of AZ U19 vs Stromsgodset U19?

AZ U19 4-1 Stromsgodset U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ U19 vs Stromsgodset U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split AZ U19 64%, draw 18%, Stromsgodset U19 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AZ U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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