Stromsgodset U19 1-4 AZ U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
51%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over Pick
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
15%
+11.9pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.8pp
51%
Away Win
67%
-15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset U19 The Market 18%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ U19 The Market 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset U19
1-4
AWAY AZ U19
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset U19 vs AZ U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ U19 cruised past Stromsgodset U19 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AZ U19 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stromsgodset U19 had 39% of the ball to AZ U19's 61%, shots finished 11-18.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset U19 vs AZ U19?

Stromsgodset U19 1-4 AZ U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset U19 vs AZ U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an AZ U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset U19 27%, draw 21%, AZ U19 51%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AZ U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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