Köln 1-1 St. Pauli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 6 Dec 2025

Köln
1-1 HT 0-0
St. Pauli
📅06/12/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Köln vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Köln v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.59/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.45
-3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +69%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
27.4 Crosses 16.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Köln vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln
5W-1D-0L
AWAY St. Pauli
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
3.04 xG 1.46
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
394 Passes 281
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.02.2019 Köln Köln 4-1 HT 1-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
02.09.2018 St. Pauli St. Pauli 3-5 HT 2-2 Köln Köln AL2
04.05.2014 Köln Köln 4-0 HT 3-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
29.11.2013 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-3 HT 0-2 Köln Köln AL2
18.02.2013 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-1 HT 0-1 Köln Köln AL2
17.09.2012 Köln Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2

Köln 1-1 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln
1-1
AWAY St. Pauli
1.91 xG 0.15
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
502 Passes 332
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 8
12 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Köln vs St. Pauli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln and St. Pauli couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Köln at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Köln had 58% of the ball to St. Pauli's 42%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.91 to 0.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Köln had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Köln and 0.67 for St. Pauli.

What was the final score of Köln vs St. Pauli?

Köln 1-1 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln vs St. Pauli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Köln 47%, draw 23%, St. Pauli 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Köln), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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