Heidenheim vs Freiburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heidenheim v Freiburg — Team-Based Signals
Heidenheim vs Freiburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-1
Freiburg
AL1
2-0
HT 0-0
Heidenheim
AL2
1-2
HT 1-1
Freiburg
AL2
Heidenheim 2-1 Freiburg — Actual Match Statistics
Heidenheim squeezed past Freiburg 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Freiburg at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Heidenheim had 39% of the ball to Freiburg's 61%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 2.14 to 1.00.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Heidenheim and 1.83 for Freiburg.
What was the final score of Heidenheim vs Freiburg?
Heidenheim 2-1 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs Freiburg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 21%, draw 28%, Freiburg 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg) went the other way.