Stuttgart 0-5 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
3.87
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
64%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.14
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.68
2-3 Goals
40%
2.3
4-5 Goals
27%
2.37
6+ Goals
13%
4.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.78
1/2
8%
17.15
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
5%
10.7
X/2 EV+ ✗
25%
4.78
X/X
9%
7.84
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
30%
1.99
2/X
5%
13.85
Value flag · X/2 at 4.78 — our 25% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
22%
-5.0pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.2pp
63%
Away Win
57%
+6.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.6pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 62%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +2%
1.55/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.10
+13% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -29%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 83%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.2
13.5 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.08 xG 2.49
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
434 Passes 450
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2025 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-2 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih ALSK
28.02.2025 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-3 HT 1-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
19.10.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 4-0 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
04.05.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-1 HT 1-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
17.12.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-0 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
04.03.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-2 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
0-5
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.92 xG 3.54
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 4
307 Passes 486
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 49
13 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih swept aside Stuttgart 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stuttgart had 41% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 59%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 0.92 to 3.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stuttgart and 2.50 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Bayern Münih?

Stuttgart 0-5 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 17%, draw 19%, Bayern Münih 63%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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