Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals
Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
1-2
HT 1-1
Augsburg
AL1
Augsburg 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics
Augsburg saw off Bayer Leverkusen 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Bayer Leverkusen at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Augsburg had 32% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 68%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.57 to 1.63.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Augsburg and 1.33 for Bayer Leverkusen.
What was the final score of Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Augsburg 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Augsburg 27%, draw 21%, Bayer Leverkusen 51%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.