Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayer Leverkusen v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals
Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
1-2
HT 1-1
Augsburg
AL1
5-1
HT 2-0
Augsburg
AL1
1-4
HT 1-2
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
1-1
HT 1-0
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen edged past Augsburg 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 65% of the ball to Augsburg's 35%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.45 to 1.17 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayer Leverkusen's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.00 for Augsburg.
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg?
Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 63%, draw 20%, Augsburg 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.