Augsburg 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 26% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
9.07
1/2
10%
24.7
1/X
4%
16.65
X/1
10%
11.15
X/2
14%
3.84
X/X
11%
5.08
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.05
2/X
8%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+10.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-9.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 62%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
0.91/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.92
+5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +30%
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
213 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 79%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.5
13.9 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Augsburg
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.04 xG 2.06
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
246 Passes 554
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 38
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 HT 2-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
13.01.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
03.02.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
13.08.2022 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 HT 1-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
22.01.2022 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 5-1 HT 2-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
28.08.2021 Augsburg Augsburg 1-4 HT 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Augsburg
0-2
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
0.56 xG 0.79
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
292 Passes 633
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
22 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen saw off Augsburg 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Augsburg had 34% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 66%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.56 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Augsburg and 2.17 for Bayer Leverkusen.

What was the final score of Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Augsburg 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Augsburg 28%, draw 24%, Bayer Leverkusen 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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