Mönchengladbach 4-1 Holstein Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.63
Over 2.5
66%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.84
2-3 Goals
36%
2.03
4-5 Goals
31%
2.51
6+ Goals
16%
5.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.75
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.05
X/1
14%
3.96
X/2
9%
13.55
X/X
7%
7.57
2/1
8%
19.5
2/2
6%
9.11
2/X
6%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.1pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.4pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.6pp
34%
Under 2.5
34%
+0.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
66%
-0.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.90/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.80
-13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
17.7 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Holstein Kiel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
29.07.2024 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
4-1
AWAY Holstein Kiel
2.39 xG 0.57
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
451 Passes 326
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs Holstein Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach swept aside Holstein Kiel 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mönchengladbach as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 57% of the ball to Holstein Kiel's 43%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.39 to 0.57.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs Holstein Kiel?

Mönchengladbach 4-1 Holstein Kiel in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs Holstein Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 58%, draw 19%, Holstein Kiel 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mönchengladbach), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mönchengladbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL1 More Germany - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2024
17:30 Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Analysis →
17:30 Mainz 05 vs Bayern Münih Analysis →
17:30 Union Berlin vs Bochum Analysis →
20:30 St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Analysis →