Mainz 05 vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities
Mainz 05 v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mainz 05 2-1 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics
Mainz 05 came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Bayern Münih 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bayern Münih at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) landed.
On the day, Mainz 05 had 31% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 69%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.06 to 1.39.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mainz 05 and 4.33 for Bayern Münih.
Mainz 05 vs Bayern Münih Result & Final Score
Mainz 05 2 - 1 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Mainz 05 vs Bayern Münih Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 16%, draw 20%, Bayern Münih 64%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern Münih) went the other way.