Mainz 05 vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mainz 05 v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-2
Bayern Münih
AL1
3-1
HT 0-1
Bayern Münih
AL1
0-4
HT 0-3
Bayern Münih
AFK
6-2
HT 3-1
Mainz 05
AL1
Mainz 05 2-1 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics
Mainz 05 nicked a narrow win over Bayern Münih 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Bayern Münih at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Mainz 05 had 31% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 69%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.06 to 1.39.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mainz 05 and 4.33 for Bayern Münih.
What was the final score of Mainz 05 vs Bayern Münih?
Mainz 05 2-1 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mainz 05 vs Bayern Münih?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 26%, draw 26%, Bayern Münih 49%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern Münih) went the other way.