Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 26 Apr 2025

Bayer Leverkusen
2-0 HT 2-0
Augsburg
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 27% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.86
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.1
X/1
19%
4.08
X/2
8%
12.2
X/X
10%
6.41
2/1
9%
21.05
2/2
8%
9.72
2/X
9%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayer Leverkusen v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.95/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.73
-12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
433 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
23.4 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Augsburg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.87 xG 0.83
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
586 Passes 247
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
38 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.12.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 0-2 HT 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
18.05.2024 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 HT 2-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
13.01.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
03.02.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
13.08.2022 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 HT 1-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
22.01.2022 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 5-1 HT 2-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1

Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
2-0
AWAY Augsburg
0.86 xG 0.68
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
451 Passes 393
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen saw off Augsburg 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 53% of the ball to Augsburg's 47%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.86 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.83 for Augsburg.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg?

Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 53%, draw 24%, Augsburg 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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