Bayern Münih vs Mainz 05 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayern Münih v Mainz 05 — Team-Based Signals
Bayern Münih vs Mainz 05 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-2
Bayern Münih
AL1
3-1
HT 0-1
Bayern Münih
AL1
0-4
HT 0-3
Bayern Münih
AFK
Bayern Münih 3-0 Mainz 05 — Actual Match Statistics
Bayern Münih ran out comfortable winners over Mainz 05 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.
On the day, Bayern Münih had 59% of the ball to Mainz 05's 41%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.10 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.17 for Mainz 05.
What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Mainz 05?
Bayern Münih 3-0 Mainz 05 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Mainz 05?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 62%, draw 19%, Mainz 05 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.