Bayern Münih 3-0 Mainz 05 — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Germany - Bundesliga, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 13:51
Match Result
Home
79%
1.27
Draw
12%
5.39
Away
9%
7.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
20%
3.25
OverVIEW
80%
1.3
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.59
No
41%
2.21
Total Goals
0-1
8%
8.59
2-3
36%
2.42
4-5
37%
2.33
6+
19%
3.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
55%
1.42
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
3%
20.4
X/1
19%
4.25
X/2
4%
20.95
X/X
6%
10.8
2/1
4%
17.55
2/2
5%
15.45
2/X
3%
23.75
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bayern Münih The Market 79%
Signal
AWAY Mainz 05 The Market 14%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
3.40 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.95
0.81 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.54
Great Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
536 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
41 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Münih
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Mainz 05
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.90 xG 1.01
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
610 Passes 226
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 2-1 HT 1-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
30.10.2024 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 0-4 HT 0-4 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AFK
09.03.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 8-1 HT 3-1 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 AL1
21.10.2023 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 1-3 HT 1-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
22.04.2023 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 3-1 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
01.02.2023 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 0-4 HT 0-3 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern Münih
3 - 0
AWAY Mainz 05
1.10 xG 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
520 Passes 324
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Bayern Münih vs Mainz 05
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bayern Münih dismantled Mainz 05 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (80%) came in, both teams to score (59%) didn't.

Under the surface, Bayern Münih had 59% of the ball to Mainz 05's 41%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.10 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.17 for Mainz 05.

Bayern Münih vs Mainz 05 Result & Final Score

Bayern Münih 3 - 0 Mainz 05 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bayern Münih vs Mainz 05 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 79%, draw 12%, Mainz 05 9%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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