Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 RB Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.56
2-3 Goals
37%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.59
6+ Goals
15%
5.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.65
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
15%
5.25
X/2
11%
7.71
X/X
12%
6.26
2/1
8%
20.35
2/2
9%
4.78
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.1pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.61/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.55
-17% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
27.1 Crosses 12.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
1W-1D-4L
AWAY RB Leipzig
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.99 xG 1.98
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
385 Passes 418
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2024 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
04.12.2024 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AFK
18.05.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 HT 0-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
13.01.2024 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
03.06.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-0 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AFK
25.02.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1 HT 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
4-0
AWAY RB Leipzig
2.13 xG 0.36
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
382 Passes 483
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
32 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt cruised past RB Leipzig 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eintracht Frankfurt as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 46% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 54%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 2.13 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.83 for RB Leipzig.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig?

Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 49%, draw 24%, RB Leipzig 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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