Wolfsburg vs Freiburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wolfsburg v Freiburg — Team-Based Signals
Wolfsburg vs Freiburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Freiburg
AL1
3-2
HT 0-1
Freiburg
HAZ
2-0
HT 0-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
6-0
HT 3-0
Freiburg
AL1
Wolfsburg 0-1 Freiburg — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg squeezed past Wolfsburg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Wolfsburg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Wolfsburg had 43% of the ball to Freiburg's 57%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.32 to 1.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Freiburg's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Wolfsburg and 1.50 for Freiburg.
What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Freiburg?
Wolfsburg 0-1 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Freiburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 42%, draw 26%, Freiburg 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.