Holstein Kiel vs Mönchengladbach Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Holstein Kiel v Mönchengladbach — Team-Based Signals
Holstein Kiel vs Mönchengladbach Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Holstein Kiel 4-3 Mönchengladbach — Actual Match Statistics
Holstein Kiel edged past Mönchengladbach 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Holstein Kiel made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Holstein Kiel had 37% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 63%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 3.49 to 1.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Holstein Kiel's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mönchengladbach led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Holstein Kiel and 2.50 for Mönchengladbach.
What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Mönchengladbach?
Holstein Kiel 4-3 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel vs Mönchengladbach?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 35%, draw 25%, Mönchengladbach 40%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mönchengladbach) went the other way.