Wolfsburg 3-1 Union Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Berlin EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.47/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.43
+9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
19.0 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Union Berlin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 1.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
361 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
23.11.2024 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
10.02.2024 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-0 HT 1-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
16.09.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-1 HT 2-1 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
12.03.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
31.01.2023 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-1 HT 1-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg
3-1
AWAY Union Berlin
0.70 xG 1.92
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 11
279 Passes 363
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 46
3 Crosses 44
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg got the better of Union Berlin 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wolfsburg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Wolfsburg had 43% of the ball to Union Berlin's 57%, shots finished 4-21, expected goals 0.70 to 1.92 — the balance of chances actually favoured Union Berlin.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wolfsburg and 1.00 for Union Berlin.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin?

Wolfsburg 3-1 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 49%, draw 23%, Union Berlin 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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