Central Coast Mariners 1-2 Sydney — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒12:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
55%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.84
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.65
1/X
6%
15.3
X/1
9%
9.47
X/2
22%
4.48
X/X
8%
6.06
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
25%
2.19
2/X
8%
14.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.65 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
+0.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
55%
Away Win
54%
+1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney EU Bookmakers 58%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -30%
1.53/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.32
+4% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 84%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
18.5 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sydney
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.13 xG 1.56
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
323 Passes 457
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2025 Sydney Sydney 2-0 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
11.01.2025 Sydney Sydney 4-1 HT 1-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
08.12.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-1 HT 0-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
18.05.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
10.05.2024 Sydney Sydney 1-2 HT 1-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
30.03.2024 Sydney Sydney 2-0 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
1-2
AWAY Sydney
0.74 xG 0.96
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
265 Passes 544
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Sydney
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney squeezed past Central Coast Mariners 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sydney as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 35% of the ball to Sydney's 65%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.74 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 1.67 for Sydney.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Sydney?

Central Coast Mariners 1-2 Sydney in the Australia - A-League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Sydney?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 23%, draw 21%, Sydney 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sydney) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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