Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auckland v Wellington Phoenix — Team-Based Signals
Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Auckland 3-1 Wellington Phoenix — Actual Match Statistics
Auckland beat Wellington Phoenix 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Auckland as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Auckland had 49% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix's 51%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 4.95 to 0.64.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Auckland had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Auckland and 0.75 for Wellington Phoenix.
What was the final score of Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix?
Auckland 3-1 Wellington Phoenix in the Australia - A-League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix?
Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Auckland 56%, draw 19%, Wellington Phoenix 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auckland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.