Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auckland v Wellington Phoenix — Team-Based Signals
Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Auckland 6-1 Wellington Phoenix — Actual Match Statistics
Auckland swept aside Wellington Phoenix 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Auckland as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Auckland had 54% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix's 46%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 2.46 to 0.90.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Auckland had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Auckland and 0.50 for Wellington Phoenix.
What was the final score of Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix?
Auckland 6-1 Wellington Phoenix in the Australia - A-League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix?
Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Auckland 57%, draw 22%, Wellington Phoenix 21%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auckland), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.