Central Coast Mariners 0-4 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 22 Feb 2025

Central Coast Mariners
0-4 HT 0-3
Western Sydney Wanderers
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.48
1/2
8%
23.0
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
13%
6.89
X/2
15%
5.28
X/X
9%
5.21
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
20%
2.97
2/X
6%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners v Western Sydney Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.54/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.50
-1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 82%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
17.7 Crosses 22.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.91 xG 1.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
346 Passes 356
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.01.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
18.02.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
06.01.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
04.03.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
28.01.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-2 HT 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
05.11.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS

Central Coast Mariners 0-4 Western Sydney Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
0-4
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.17 xG 2.86
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
268 Passes 362
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney Wanderers swept aside Central Coast Mariners 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Western Sydney Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 44% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 56%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.17 to 2.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 0.83 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Central Coast Mariners 0-4 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 33%, draw 24%, Western Sydney Wanderers 44%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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