Newcastle Jets 0-1 Melbourne City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 6 Dec 2025

Newcastle Jets
0-1 HT 0-1
Melbourne City
📅06/12/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2025/2026

Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.37
2-3 Goals
39%
2.01
4-5 Goals
23%
2.63
6+ Goals
14%
6.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.54
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.05
1/X
10%
12.95
X/1
10%
7.38
X/2
10%
5.38
X/X
8%
6.08
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
28%
2.79
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.05 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.9pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle Jets v Melbourne City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +24%
1.37/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.35
+0% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 83%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
17.9 Crosses 18.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Melbourne City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.75 xG 1.77
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
328 Passes 427
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.03.2025 Melbourne City Melbourne City 0-1 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
19.10.2024 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 0-1 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS
30.03.2024 Melbourne City Melbourne City 0-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
03.12.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 0-2 HT 0-1 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS
02.04.2023 Melbourne City Melbourne City 1-1 HT 0-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
12.11.2022 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-2 HT 1-1 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS

Newcastle Jets 0-1 Melbourne City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets
0-1
AWAY Melbourne City
1.29 xG 1.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
416 Passes 315
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
44 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City edged past Newcastle Jets 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melbourne City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Newcastle Jets had 56% of the ball to Melbourne City's 44%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.29 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Newcastle Jets and 1.00 for Melbourne City.

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City?

Newcastle Jets 0-1 Melbourne City in the Australia - A-League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets 29%, draw 24%, Melbourne City 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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