Maribor vs Aluminij Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maribor v Aluminij — Team-Based Signals
Maribor vs Aluminij Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Maribor
SLVN
1-0
HT 0-0
Aluminij
SLVN
Maribor 2-3 Aluminij — Actual Match Statistics
Aluminij squeezed past Maribor 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Maribor carried 67% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Maribor had 56% of the ball to Aluminij's 44%, shots finished 10-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Maribor and 0.50 for Aluminij.
What was the final score of Maribor vs Aluminij?
Maribor 2-3 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maribor vs Aluminij?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Maribor 67%, draw 19%, Aluminij 14%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maribor) went the other way.