Montecchio Maggiore 0-1 Cjarlins Muzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
41%
4-5
29%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Montecchio Maggiore win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
61%
Home Win
77%
-16.3pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.9pp
19%
Away Win
8%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montecchio Maggiore The Market 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Cjarlins Muzane The Market 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
563 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montecchio Maggiore
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cjarlins Muzane
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
10.09.2023 Cjarlins Muzane 0-0 HT 0-0 Montecchio Maggiore İTD
POST-MATCH Montecchio Maggiore vs Cjarlins Muzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cjarlins Muzane nicked a narrow win over Montecchio Maggiore 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Montecchio Maggiore at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

What was the final score of Montecchio Maggiore vs Cjarlins Muzane?

Montecchio Maggiore 0-1 Cjarlins Muzane in the Italy - Serie D on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montecchio Maggiore vs Cjarlins Muzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montecchio Maggiore win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Montecchio Maggiore 61%, draw 20%, Cjarlins Muzane 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Montecchio Maggiore), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montecchio Maggiore) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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