Sporting CP vs Porto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting CP v Porto — Team-Based Signals
Sporting CP vs Porto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Porto
POR
1-2
HT 0-0
Porto
POR
Sporting CP 1-0 Porto — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP squeezed past Porto 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Sporting CP had 49% of the ball to Porto's 51%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.96 to 0.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sporting CP and 1.67 for Porto.
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Porto?
Sporting CP 1-0 Porto in the Portugal - League Cup on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Porto?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 42%, draw 29%, Porto 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.