Barcelona 5-0 Athletic Bilbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Super Cup, 7 Jan 2026

Barcelona
5 - 0 HT 4 - 0
Athletic Bilbao
📅07/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Spain - Super Cup – 2025/2026

Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
16%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.38
Over
64%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
16%
4.82
2-3
43%
1.95
4-5
30%
2.74
6+
11%
7.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.92
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.15
X/1
19%
4.29
X/2
6%
11.4
X/X
11%
6.7
2/1 ✗
4%
19.85
2/2
8%
8.42
2/X
4%
16.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.85 — our 4% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Barcelona The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao The Market 21%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.57 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.63
0.47 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.57
Average Attack Strength Bad
Bad Defense Strength Great
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26
13 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2

Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.37 xG 1.58
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
559 Passes 266
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.11.2025 Barcelona Barcelona 4-0 HT 2-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
25.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-3 HT 0-2 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
08.01.2025 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İSSK
24.08.2024 Barcelona Barcelona 2-1 HT 1-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
03.03.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
24.01.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 4-2 HT 1-2 Barcelona Barcelona İSPK

Barcelona 5-0 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
5 - 0
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
2.04 xG 1.76
79% Ball Possession 21%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
776 Passes 139
92% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 14
REVIEW Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Barcelona dismantled Athletic Bilbao 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (64%) came in, both teams to score (58%) didn't.

The match data tells the story: Barcelona had 79% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 21%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.04 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Barcelona and 0.83 for Athletic Bilbao.

Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao Result & Final Score

Barcelona 5 - 0 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Super Cup on 07/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 64%, draw 20%, Athletic Bilbao 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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