AZ U19 1-0 Atletico Madrid U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 7 Feb 2024

AZ U19
1-0 HT 1-0
Atletico Madrid U19
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2023/2024

AZ U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.0
Over Pick
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.7
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
23%
3.22
6+
11%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.44
1/2
5%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
9%
5.4
X/2
14%
5.72
X/X
13%
4.83
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
16%
3.74
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AZ U19 v Atletico Madrid U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ U19 The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid U19 The Market 38%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.03/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.62
-7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +67%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
11.0 Crosses 2.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

AZ U19 1-0 Atletico Madrid U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ U19
1-0
AWAY Atletico Madrid U19
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AZ U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ U19 nicked a narrow win over Atletico Madrid U19 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; AZ U19 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, AZ U19 had 51% of the ball to Atletico Madrid U19's 49%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of AZ U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19?

AZ U19 1-0 Atletico Madrid U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AZ U19 38%, draw 27%, Atletico Madrid U19 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ U19), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AZ U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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