Zilina U19 2-1 Borussia Dortmund U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 7 Feb 2024

📅07/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.43
Over
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
25%
5.26
2-3
39%
1.97
4-5
25%
2.66
6+
11%
6.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
4.23
1/2
5%
21.6
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
4%
6.9
X/2
13%
5.07
X/X
9%
5.76
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
16%
2.75
2/X
9%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
44%
-10.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.5pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zilina U19 The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund U19 The Market 48%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
4.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.28
+150% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 5.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zilina U19
2-1
AWAY Borussia Dortmund U19
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zilina U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zilina U19 nicked a narrow win over Borussia Dortmund U19 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Zilina U19 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Zilina U19 had 49% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund U19's 51%, shots finished 22-19.

What was the final score of Zilina U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19?

Zilina U19 2-1 Borussia Dortmund U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zilina U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zilina U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zilina U19 40%, draw 27%, Borussia Dortmund U19 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zilina U19), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zilina U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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