Nantes U19 3-3 Sevilla U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 7 Feb 2024

📅07/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.25
Draw
21%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.67
Over
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.85
No
61%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.69
2-3
37%
1.75
4-5
21%
4.25
6+
8%
21.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.32
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
27%
4.76
X/2
6%
5.89
X/X
11%
4.09
2/1
4%
29.5
2/2
22%
4.47
2/X
4%
13.8
Value flag · X/1 at 4.76 — our 27% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
41%
+6.2pp
21%
Draw
28%
-6.8pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.6pp
61%
BTTS No
50%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes U19 The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla U19 The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes U19
3-3
AWAY Sevilla U19
0.72 xG 1.72
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
355 Passes 194
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
8 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nantes U19 vs Sevilla U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantes U19 and Sevilla U19 shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nantes U19 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nantes U19 had 61% of the ball to Sevilla U19's 39%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.72 to 1.72.

What was the final score of Nantes U19 vs Sevilla U19?

Nantes U19 3-3 Sevilla U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes U19 vs Sevilla U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantes U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nantes U19 47%, draw 21%, Sevilla U19 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nantes U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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