Partizan U19 0-2 Sporting Braga U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 7 Feb 2024

📅07/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
44%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.43
Over Pick
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
21%
5.18
2-3
43%
1.96
4-5
25%
2.68
6+
11%
6.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
6.25
1/2
5%
19.85
1/X
11%
14.1
X/1
11%
9.41
X/2
11%
4.27
X/X
6%
6.12
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
28%
2.11
2/X
6%
13.75
Value flag · 1/X at 14.1 — our 11% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
23%
+9.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-10.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.3pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partizan U19 The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U19 The Market 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +115% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Partizan U19
0-2
AWAY Sporting Braga U19
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Partizan U19 vs Sporting Braga U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U19 got the better of Partizan U19 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Braga U19 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Partizan U19 had 46% of the ball to Sporting Braga U19's 54%, shots finished 5-9.

What was the final score of Partizan U19 vs Sporting Braga U19?

Partizan U19 0-2 Sporting Braga U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partizan U19 vs Sporting Braga U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Partizan U19 33%, draw 23%, Sporting Braga U19 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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