Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.4pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.9pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 14%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.57/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.09
+24% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / +18%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
20.0 Crosses 14.1
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Monagas
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 1.77
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
284 Passes 212
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2024 Monagas Monagas 2-3 HT 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
04.11.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
23.08.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 HT 2-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
02.03.2024 Monagas Monagas 3-2 HT 1-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
19.08.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
19.03.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
2-0
AWAY Monagas
3.11 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
351 Passes 210
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes De Merida beat Monagas 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Estudiantes De Merida as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 57% of the ball to Monagas's 43%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 3.11 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes De Merida had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.33 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Monagas?

Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 55%, draw 24%, Monagas 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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