Monagas vs Estudiantes De Merida Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monagas v Estudiantes De Merida — Team-Based Signals
Monagas vs Estudiantes De Merida Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Monagas
VEN
1-1
HT 1-0
Estudiantes De Merida
VEN
1-1
HT 1-0
Monagas
VEN
Monagas 2-3 Estudiantes De Merida — Actual Match Statistics
Estudiantes De Merida edged past Monagas 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Monagas at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monagas had 32% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 68%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 2.12 to 1.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Monagas.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes De Merida led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Monagas and 1.50 for Estudiantes De Merida.
What was the final score of Monagas vs Estudiantes De Merida?
Monagas 2-3 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monagas vs Estudiantes De Merida?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Monagas 42%, draw 29%, Estudiantes De Merida 29%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.