Carabobo 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 11 Nov 2024

📅11/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.09
No
64%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.7pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +13%
1.16/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.09
+0% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
15.9 Crosses 16.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.94 xG 0.71
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
348 Passes 373
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
04.11.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
16.09.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
20.03.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
16.07.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
30.04.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 3-2 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
04.07.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 3-2 HT 2-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
1-1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.15 xG 0.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
279 Passes 239
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo and Deportivo La Guaira shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, Carabobo had 53% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 47%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.15 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Carabobo and 1.17 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Carabobo 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 39%, draw 32%, Deportivo La Guaira 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Carabobo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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