Genoa 2-3 Napoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 7 Feb 2026

Genoa
2-3 HT 1-2
Napoli
📅07/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Genoa vs Napoli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.48
Over
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.24
No
53%
1.57
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.13
2-3
39%
1.8
4-5
21%
5.71
6+
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.82
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.85
X/1
7%
7.72
X/2
13%
4.43
X/X
16%
3.54
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
30%
2.91
2/X
6%
14.55
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Genoa v Napoli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli The Market 49%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.03/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.01
+14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
258 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
20.9 Crosses 15.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Genoa vs Napoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Napoli
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.77 xG 1.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
222 Passes 502
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2025 Napoli Napoli 2-1 HT 0-1 Genoa Genoa İTA
11.05.2025 Napoli Napoli 2-2 HT 1-1 Genoa Genoa İTA
21.12.2024 Genoa Genoa 1-2 HT 0-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
17.02.2024 Napoli Napoli 1-1 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
16.09.2023 Genoa Genoa 2-2 HT 1-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
15.05.2022 Napoli Napoli 3-0 HT 1-0 Genoa Genoa İTA

Genoa 2-3 Napoli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa
2-3
AWAY Napoli
1.36 xG 2.48
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
250 Passes 421
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Genoa vs Napoli
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Napoli nicked a narrow win over Genoa 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, Napoli saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.36 to 2.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Genoa against 2.00 for Napoli.

Genoa vs Napoli Result & Final Score

Genoa 2-3 Napoli in the Italy - Serie A on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Genoa vs Napoli Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Genoa 21%, draw 29%, Napoli 50%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Napoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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