Napoli vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Napoli v Genoa — Team-Based Signals
Napoli vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Napoli 2-1 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics
Napoli squeezed past Genoa 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 52% and both teams to score at 51%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.50, roughly 67%.
By the numbers, Napoli had 69% of the ball to Genoa's 31%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.31 to 0.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Napoli and 1.17 for Genoa.
Napoli vs Genoa Result & Final Score
Napoli 2-1 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Napoli vs Genoa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Napoli 63%, draw 21%, Genoa 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.