Udinese 1-1 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.64
Over
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.6
2-3
37%
1.75
4-5
23%
4.26
6+
9%
21.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.92
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
14%
4.74
X/2
10%
7.38
X/X
9%
3.98
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
13%
5.85
2/X
9%
13.95
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari The Market 29%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.41/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.39
-13% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.1 Crosses 20.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cagliari
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.61 xG 1.12
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
396 Passes 349
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Cagliari Cagliari 1-2 HT 1-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
25.10.2024 Udinese Udinese 2-0 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
18.02.2024 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 1-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
01.11.2023 Udinese Udinese 1-2 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTK
17.09.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
03.04.2022 Udinese Udinese 5-1 HT 2-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
1-1
AWAY Cagliari
2.68 xG 0.96
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
368 Passes 216
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
39 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Udinese vs Cagliari
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Udinese and Cagliari traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Udinese at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (55%) landed.

On the day, Udinese had 60% of the ball to Cagliari's 40%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 2.68 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Udinese had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Udinese and 0.83 for Cagliari.

Udinese vs Cagliari Result & Final Score

Udinese 1-1 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Udinese vs Cagliari Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Udinese 44%, draw 26%, Cagliari 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Udinese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Udinese) ✓ Under 2.5
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