Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Freiburg v Werder Bremen — Team-Based Signals
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg shaded a tight game against Werder Bremen 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Freiburg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Werder Bremen saw more of the ball, 67% to 33%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.47 to 0.97 — the balance of chances actually favoured Werder Bremen.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Freiburg against 0.67 for Werder Bremen.
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Result & Final Score
Freiburg 1 - 0 Werder Bremen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 48%, draw 28%, Werder Bremen 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.