Werder Bremen 0-3 Freiburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 20 Sep 2025

Werder Bremen
0-3 HT 0-1
Freiburg
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Werder Bremen vs Freiburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.27
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.1
Over Pick
63%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
20%
3.94
2-3
38%
1.81
4-5
29%
2.93
6+
13%
9.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.32
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
19%
5.56
X/2
13%
6.16
X/X
11%
5.11
2/1 ✗
9%
24.1
2/2
11%
3.9
2/X
5%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.1 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Werder Bremen v Freiburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg The Market 37%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +23%
1.70/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.27
+17% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.1 Crosses 17.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5

Werder Bremen vs Freiburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Freiburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 1.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
380 Passes 371
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.02.2025 Freiburg Freiburg 5-0 HT 2-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
05.10.2024 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0-1 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
27.01.2024 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-1 HT 1-1 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
26.08.2023 Freiburg Freiburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
16.04.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-2 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
22.10.2022 Freiburg Freiburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1

Werder Bremen 0-3 Freiburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen
0-3
AWAY Freiburg
1.22 xG 2.39
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 0
475 Passes 275
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Werder Bremen vs Freiburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Freiburg dismantled Werder Bremen 3-0 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Werder Bremen at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

By the numbers, possession split 62% to 38% in Werder Bremen's favour, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.22 to 2.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Werder Bremen against 2.00 for Freiburg.

Werder Bremen vs Freiburg Result & Final Score

Werder Bremen 0-3 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Werder Bremen vs Freiburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 48%, draw 21%, Freiburg 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Werder Bremen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Werder Bremen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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