Erzgebirge Aue 0-0 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
9.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.43
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
24.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
13%
6.77
X/2
15%
5.41
X/X
12%
5.16
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
14%
3.12
2/X
7%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzgebirge Aue EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.17/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.43
-11% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 17.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Saarbrücken
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
328 Passes 324
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 4-1 HT 2-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
08.04.2025 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
02.11.2024 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-1 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
09.03.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 2-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
07.10.2023 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
26.02.2023 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
0-0
AWAY Saarbrücken
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 7
366 Passes 249
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Erzgebirge Aue vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzgebirge Aue and Saarbrücken fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Erzgebirge Aue had 58% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 42%, shots finished 12-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.67 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs Saarbrücken?

Erzgebirge Aue 0-0 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 35%, draw 25%, Saarbrücken 40%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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