Portimonense U23 1-3 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
40%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
43%
Away Win
33%
+9.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.30/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.13
-18% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Rio Ave U23
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.04.2025 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 2-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
21.01.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-2 HT 0-0 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
02.04.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 1-1 HT 1-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
29.01.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
1-3
AWAY Rio Ave U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 beat Portimonense U23 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rio Ave U23 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 53% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 47%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rio Ave U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Portimonense U23 and 1.50 for Rio Ave U23.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Portimonense U23 1-3 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 31%, draw 26%, Rio Ave U23 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave U23) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✗ Under 2.5
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