Rio Ave U23 2-1 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.8pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.5pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-6.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.2pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.90/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.95
+32% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Portimonense U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.01.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-2 HT 0-0 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
02.04.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 1-1 HT 1-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
29.01.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
2-1
AWAY Portimonense U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 nicked a narrow win over Portimonense U23 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rio Ave U23 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 52% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 48%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rio Ave U23 had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rio Ave U23 and 0.67 for Portimonense U23.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Rio Ave U23 2-1 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 41%, draw 32%, Portimonense U23 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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