Famalicao U23 2-0 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 24%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.60/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.33
-8% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2025 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 0-3 HT 0-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
11.12.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-2 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 UŞGA
25.09.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 2-3 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 UŞGA
25.04.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 0-1 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
20.02.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-4 HT 1-2 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
2-0
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 beat Gil Vicente U23 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Famalicao U23 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 53% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 47%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Famalicao U23 and 1.60 for Gil Vicente U23.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Famalicao U23 2-0 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 45%, draw 26%, Gil Vicente U23 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao U23) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✗ Over 2.5
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