Leixoes U23 2-2 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.16/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.25
-17% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes U23
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2025 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 3-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
02.12.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 0-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 UŞGA
08.10.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 2-2 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 UŞGA
11.03.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-4 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
22.01.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 3-1 HT 3-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
19.12.2023 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 2-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
2-2
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes U23 and Sporting Braga U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 49% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 51%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga U23 led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Leixoes U23 and 2.33 for Sporting Braga U23.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Leixoes U23 2-2 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 37%, draw 28%, Sporting Braga U23 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leixoes U23)
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