Farense U23 5-1 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.72/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/0.70
+75% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +120%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Santa Clara U23
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2025 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 0-2 HT 0-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
10.12.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 0-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
10.10.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
11.03.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
24.01.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 6-1 HT 2-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
12.12.2023 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
5-1
AWAY Santa Clara U23
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 cruised past Santa Clara U23 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Farense U23 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Farense U23 had 45% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 55%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farense U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Farense U23 and 1.50 for Santa Clara U23.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Farense U23 5-1 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 42%, draw 29%, Santa Clara U23 30%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farense U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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