Academico Viseu U23 0-1 Mafra U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu U23 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.92/3.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.77
+16% / -78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu U23
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Mafra U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.01.2025 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-2 HT 1-1 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 PORU23
04.03.2024 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 1-6 HT 1-3 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
17.01.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu U23
0-1
AWAY Mafra U23
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu U23 vs Mafra U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra U23 edged past Academico Viseu U23 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Academico Viseu U23 at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Academico Viseu U23 had 63% of the ball to Mafra U23's 37%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Academico Viseu U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Academico Viseu U23 and 2.33 for Mafra U23.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu U23 vs Mafra U23?

Academico Viseu U23 0-1 Mafra U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu U23 vs Mafra U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu U23 56%, draw 20%, Mafra U23 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Academico Viseu U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academico Viseu U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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