Alloa Athletic 2-1 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.1
2-3
45%
1.72
4-5
21%
3.39
6+
8%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.1 — our 26% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Alloa Athletic The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts The Market 25%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.93 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.41
1.10 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.55
Average Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses 6.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
5 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
03.01.2026 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
01.11.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 3-0 HT 2-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
07.10.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-2 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
15.02.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
07.12.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-2 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
21.09.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
REVIEW Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Alloa Athletic edged past Kelty Hearts 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Alloa Athletic as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Alloa Athletic against 0.17 for Kelty Hearts.

Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts Result & Final Score

Alloa Athletic 2-1 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 56%, draw 22%, Kelty Hearts 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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