Alloa Athletic 3-0 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.23
6+ Goals
8%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 31% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.63/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.62
-12% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
1.0 Crosses 6.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
5 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
07.10.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-2 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
15.02.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
07.12.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-2 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
21.09.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
19.03.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
09.03.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 3-0 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic cruised past Kelty Hearts 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alloa Athletic as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alloa Athletic and 0.33 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?

Alloa Athletic 3-0 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 52%, draw 22%, Kelty Hearts 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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